Global Warming News

The latest climate reports are disturbing. Scientists have witnessed intense methane release in Arctic regions as the sub-sea permafrost appears to be melting. While similar processes have historically led to intense planetary warming episodes, triggered first by volcanic eruptions or tectonic collisions putting CO2 into the atmosphere, this time around it is human CO2 emissions that have led the way.

Meanwhile, a new study by the Global Climate Project has revealed that yearly CO2 emissions are accelerating upward, while the natural carbon sinks provided by our oceans are removing less and less carbon from the atmosphere. Taken together, the impending ice meltdown will almost certainly happen at a faster pace than what the current climate models have been predicting.

The bottom line:

* We have injected so much CO2 from burning fossil fuels and deforestation that the atmospheric CO2 is now at 385 parts per million, 67% above the average of the past 800.000 years (covering many glacial/interglacial cycles), and 29% above the maximum of the same period. The rate of increase is 2.2ppm/year and getting faster.

* When atmospheric CO2 was above 450 ppm in the earth's history, the planet was completely ice-free, and sea level was 75 meters higher than today.

* The safe upper limit of atmospheric CO2 that we should aim to stay below is probably between 300-350 ppm. We have already overshot it and the longer we stay above that the more likely we will have set in motion long-term climate changes that will proceed beyond human control through powerful geophysical positive feedback mechanisms.

* Sudden warmings of a few degrees in the past have triggered mass extinctions. Current species extinction rate is estimated at 100 to 1000 times "background" or average extinction rates in the evolutionary time scale of planet Earth. A mass extinction is underway and we have to reverse course quickly enough to prevent the worst.